
Traffic at the Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas (c) Russell Johnson
Feed the Tiger: The Future of Las Vegas
When will it end? Why as our salaries
shrink, our expectations dwindle, our house values plummet, our IRAs
squeal like piggies being led to slaughter, does that supersize-me
oasis of bare buns, aged sirloin and greedy motives called Las Vegas
keep on getting bigger. Last week the strip got its latest boob job
called the Palazzo, a 1.9 billion hotel implant that would dwarf the
crumbling palaces on the Grand Canal and make a Doge weep. Outside
of Las Vegas, what else could 1.3 billion get you? According to the
UN, you could immunize every child in the world against deadly
disease for 1.3 billion a year. But then, what happens in Bangladesh
stays in Bangladesh...Las Vegas is a different reality.
As a Midwesterner with a lifetime pass
on the turnip truck, I have never understood the economies of "big,"
the challenge of filling 3 thousand rooms (the Venetian next door has
4 thousand), how anybody in his or her right mind would expect to
turn a profit on a $2 billion dollar investment. Or is it the egos of
bigger-than-life guys, the Sheldon Adelsons (who built the Palazzo
and the Venetians of Las Vegas and Macau) or the Steve Winns. Adelson
is a smart guy. He made his fortune when he sold the big COMDEX
electronics show, cashing in a few years before the show died in a
perfect storm of greed and ennui. The computer industry changed and
the show became too big and too expensive as hoteliers gouged
attendees.
Now the Consumer Electronics Show is
the monster event. A couple of weeks ago, with 160 thousand attendees
scrambling for $400 a night rooms, I stayed across Bridge of Sighs in
a $200 two-star off the strip, a dogeared old hotel that would
normally go for half that. A few years ago, we had a suite at Ceasars
for $100. And now, the owners of CES are threatening to take their
giant gadget show elsewhere if the hoteliers don't give in a little.
So, what happens when the new sites go
up: Donald Trump's place, which will open this spring; a new 2
thousand room Wynn; a new MGM Mirage with 4 thousand rooms, etc.,
etc. Will prices go down? Probably not. Will Adelson and Wynn sell
out to some corporate doofises while the going is good, or will Las
Vegas just keep on growing? I could be tempted to bet on the latter,
of a future when signs in Las Vegas are in English and Chinese, with
slot machines labeled "Feed the Tiger." Both Wynn and Adelson
have a big time presence in Chinese Macau, which has already
surpassed Las Vegas in gambling revenues. As China's middle class
grows, so will its outbound travel and so will Wynn's and Adelson's
brands. Soon Sigfried and Roy's won't be the only tigers on the
strip.
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